The Tropics Remain Busy
After days of speculation and uncertainty, we are still looking at two tropical depressions across the Atlantic Basin. Tropical Depression 8 (TD 8), which formed on Sunday, continues to slowly approach the coast of North Carolina. Despite remaining over warm water (sea surface temperatures in the low to mid-80s), wind shear and dry air has prevented TD 8 from reaching tropical storm status. However, the system could strengthen just enough to become a tropical storm at any point in the next couple of days.
What Will the Rest of Summer Hold for Indy?
After a warm and wet June, we have now completed the first third of meteorological summer (defined as June through August). Despite the above normal temperatures, the two hottest months of the year for the Indianapolis area are generally July and August. If you recall our 2016 Summer Forecast, which we issued in the middle of May, we predicted this year would be a hot one overall. So with one month in the books, have our expectations changed for the rest of the summer across central Indiana?
Summer Outlook 2016: Sizzling Temps Ahead?
Summer is upon us! While astronomical summer begins on June 20th, June 1st starts the three month period meteorologists refer to as climatological summer. While the end of April through around mid-May were dominated by cloudy and cool conditions, we've recently gotten a brief taste of summer-like conditions a bit ahead of schedule. With that said, what can we expect over the next few months?
May 2016: Hot End Moderates an Overall Cool Month
After months of cold conditions, May often features some of the most pleasant weather of the year. With temperatures typically in the 60s and 70s, the fifth month is usually a great time to go outside and enjoy some sunshine. Unfortunately, this was not the case for a majority of last month.
2016 Hurricane Season Outlook
Other than a brief scare with Hurricane Joaquin, 2015 went down as another relatively quiet year for hurricanes across the Atlantic. In fact, last year was the third year in a row with below normal tropical activity. So with the 2015 season well in the rear-view mirror, is the Atlantic Basin expected to see a rebound in 2016? Let’s take a look at some of the players expected to impact the upcoming hurricane season.
Pattern Behind the December Warmth
To say that December 2015 broke a few records across the Midwest and the East Coast would not be doing it justice. In fact, for some places it wasn’t even close. While a mild month was expected, nobody could have anticipated the magnitude and consistency of the warm temperatures we experienced. So let’s take a closer look at why December was an historic one for the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic and Midwest.
Winter Outlook 2015 - 2016
It’s that time of year again… we’re prepping our staff to create Certified Snowfall Totals and everybody is wondering what to expect for the upcoming winter. After two frigid and snowy winters across the Eastern US, will 2015-16 be another one? As of right now, it looks like the answer is no.
El Niño: Why Strength Matters
As we enter the first week of October, we continue to watch the strengthening El Niño in the Tropical Pacific. At this point, it looks nearly certain that El Niño will stick around for the entire upcoming winter. However, when assessing the impact it will have on our winter in the Midwest, Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, it is vital to also know the strength of the event.
2015 Fall Outlook / Tropical Update
Welcome to Meteorological Fall! While the calendar has changed to September, the first few days of the month have certainly felt a lot more like July. With temperatures soaring through the 80s and even into the 90s in some locations, summer has refused to let go across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. So the question is, how long will the warmth hold on?